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Change of the mean net income with time for the different datasets. Most of the datasets present a decreasing net income as time t increases. Each point is obtained from an average over at least 200 players. An useful tool for studying the diffusive process is the ensemble-averaged mean-squared displacement (MSD), defined as. For a normal diffusive process, \(\langle \Delta ^(t)\rangle \sim t\) , otherwise an anomalous diffusive behavior prevails. More specifically, when the MSD growth is faster (respectively, slower) than linear, superdiffusion (respectively, subdiffusion) is observed. In Fig. 7, we present the growth of the ensemble-averaged MSD against time for each of the datasets. To reduce the coarseness, MSD curves are smoothed with log-binning technique. The error bars in Fig. 7 represent 95% confidence intervals computed with bootstrapping using 2000 independent re-sampling runs. It is interesting to see that for different datasets we observe different diffusive behaviors. For games csgofast-Crash (C) we observe that the MSD grows faster than a linear function, suggesting superdiffusive behavior. Meanwhile, for games csgofast-Double (A), ethCrash (D), csgospeed (G), and csgofast-Jackpot (H), the MSD first presents a superdiffusive regime, followed by a crossover to a normal diffusive regime. For games csgofast-X50 (B) and Coinroll (F), although the ensemble-averaged MSD roughly presents a linear/sublinear growth, a careful inspection shows that both curves consist of several convex-shaped regimes, indicating a more complex behavior. Convex-shaped regimes can also be observed in csgofast-Crash games (C). Figure 7. The growth of ensemble-averaged mean-squared displacement in different datasets presents different diffusive behaviors. In the figures, the error bars represent 95% confidence intervals, blue dashed lines follow linear functions (slope = 1), and green dotted lines follow quadratic functions (slope = 2). In ref. 8 we argued that the crossover from a superdiffusive regime to a normal diffusive regime in a parimutuel game is due to the limitation of individuals’ wealth and the conservation of total wealth. Similar crossovers are observed in games (G) and (H), two parimutuel betting games, where the same explanation can be applied. On the other hand, this crossover is also found in a Roulette game and in a Crash game, where there is no interaction among gamblers. The limitation of an individual’s wealth can still be a partial explanation, but the conservation of total wealth no longer holds. A different explanation needs to be proposed to model this crossover. In the following we briefly discuss how we can obtain from gambling models the different diffusive processes observed in the data. We will not attempt to reproduce the parameters we obtained from the gambling logs, but rather try to explore the possible reasons for the anomalous diffusion we reported. For a gambling process, if the gambler’s behavior is independent among different rounds, i.e., the wager and odds are respectively independent and identically distributed (IID), with no influence from the previous outcomes, and if the wager b has finite variance and the odds m has finite mean, then MSD’s growth will be a linear function of time t : $$\langle \Delta ^(t)\rangle =\langle _)>^\rangle =(\langle m\rangle -1)\langle ^\rangle t,$$, eye of gold कैसीनो लाइव रूले.
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